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    ~~Image from [http://www.sorayama.net sorayama.net]~~
     
    <p align="justify"> ++In 1999, two distinguished computer scientists, Ray Kurzweil and Hans Moravec, came out independently with serious books that proclaimed that in the coming century, our own computational technology, marching to the exponential drum of Moore's Law and more general laws of bootstrapping, leapfrogging, positive feedback progress, will outstrip us intellectually and spiritually, becoming not only deeply creative but deeply emotive, thus usurping from us humans our self-appointed position as "the highest product of evolution". Reasonable fact or complete fiction? Expert panel assembled by Doug Hofstadter explores the issue.++ </p>
     
     
    '''[http://web.archive.org/web/20011116164521/http://technetcast.ddj.com/tnc_play_stream.html?stream_id=258 Bill Joy]:''' The replicating and evolving processes that have been confined 21st century is so surprising to people is because of the natural world of paradigm shifts... right now paradigm shifts are about to become, as Bacon dreamed, realms the next ten years will be like 20 years... Human created technology is really the cutting edge of human endeavor. So planet. If we go out sufficiently into the real risk and follow this progression of the acceleration of paradigm shifts, we face, in my judgment... is that we're democratizing the ability for individuals to cause great harm. Information technology is a great democratizer. The risk long. We'll make 20 thousand years of harm in the 21st century at current rates of progress. That's why the future is extremely great because of self-replication.
     
     
     
     
     
    '''[http://web.archive.org/web/20020627015727/http://technetcast.ddj.com/tnc_play_stream.html?stream_id=269 Ralph Merkle]:''' What are a plot of the potential dangers posed by artificial self-replicating, manufacturing systems? The only self-replicating systems we are familiar with are living systems. And we unconsciously assume that artificial self-replicating systems will be similar. But the machines people make bear little resemblance to living systems. Wild birds showed us that heavier than air flight was possible. Airplanes are very different from birds. The image of a 747 going feral, swooping out of the sky to clutch an unsuspecting horse Law is 18 months, for SETI it's 235 days. That's because SETI exploits [not only] Moore's Law, but also increases in its landing gear seems incongruous. Machines don't behave in that way. They lack the wonderful adapability of living systems.
     
    '''[http://web.archive.org/web/20010717221736/http://technetcast.ddj.com/tnc_play_stream.html?stream_id=270 John Koza]:''' Over are the years our group has done a lot of work and this number keeps coming up--ten to the 15th. There's 10 to the 12th neurons in the brain, they operate at millisecond speed. So we have familiar with are living systems. And we unconsciously assume that artificial self-replicating systems will be similar. But the notion of a brain second--1 BS. And 1 BS, 1 brain second, seems to be a number birds showed us that heavier than air flight was possible. Airplanes are very different from birds. The image of a number going feral, swooping out of researchers around the world, including people an unsuspecting horse in our own group here [at] Stanford, have culled out and discovered that you can do certain things [at]. of living systems.
     
     



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    Last edit 2009-07-25 21:30 by dimitri (diff)